Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 307.385220 349.550947 396.999589 454.663238 523.268006 602.803635 702.753148
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 238.021519 290.155934 354.303440 440.200911 554.010293 702.253826 914.423500
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 200.699631 255.463438 326.757861 428.464964 573.389629 778.258128 1100.890476
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 182.730627 241.207544 321.084498 441.506161 624.650905 903.862637 1385.763749
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 165.897460 225.460561 310.047140 443.517681 657.991718 1007.112489 1661.337417
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 149.657119 208.222051 294.061789 434.710799 671.444594 1079.200730 1901.269522
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 138.573503 197.078894 285.421159 435.475570 699.679923 1181.008139 2226.682895
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 126.940522 183.799744 271.782518 425.774806 707.448754 1246.053144 2496.319223
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 118.513020 174.604170 263.493036 423.740640 728.252785 1339.969406 2861.875799
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 107.721964 160.693666 246.093253 403.398466 710.836836 1351.663222 3032.995516
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 105.091190 159.697570 250.021732 421.893845 772.564754 1546.793010 3758.380286
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 103.595504 160.381130 256.781721 446.429505 851.102985 1801.034707 4781.143668
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 98.188947 154.168149 251.098749 446.747255 879.117848 1944.965998 5557.523968
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 91.366946 145.021365 239.358763 433.624517 874.982946 2006.555851 6094.281867
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 85.443244 137.007256 228.985902 422.030790 872.411734 2072.094201 6690.215725
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 83.165439 135.286028 230.178048 434.831412 931.006312 2329.246749 8257.390319
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 79.762739 131.262574 226.589350 436.804247 962.947478 2517.844241 9690.515584
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 75.450090 125.267618 218.656814 428.164328 965.718042 2615.328253 10767.032153
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 72.505721 121.617887 215.051643 428.914635 993.995725 2808.354102 12570.560469
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 68.732709 116.166785 207.401878 419.396826 992.107618 2895.888120 13850.718059
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 65.985527 112.504230 203.120705 417.400891 1011.583540 3070.176549 15932.708962
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 61.724998 105.692394 191.874191 397.438432 974.893427 3017.604000 16333.795619
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 61.250738 106.207394 195.957782 415.588765 1056.951211 3473.722124 21470.368869